Wednesday, November 30, 2011

A Cost of Fighting Wildfires in Northern California



According to a report issued in August of this year by the independent, nonprofit research group, Headwaters Economics, the cost of protecting homes in the Sierra Nevada from wildfires is increasing. Headwaters Economics found that 35% of firefighting costs in their studied area went to protecting homes. Of the $496 million that was spent on fighting wildfires, an estimated $173 million was attributed to home protection. Their report states that since 2001 the number of homes that have been threatened by wildfires has approximately doubled compared to the previous two decades. Approximately 13,000 homes have been threatened by wildfires over the past 10 years.
The report did not go into detail as to why there are more wildfires now than before, beyond saying that higher summer temperatures are associated with more wildfire activity. According to the report, the 35% increase in areas affected by wildfires has been associated with a 1-degree Fahrenheit increase in average summer temperatures.
The Headwaters Economics group found that the more spread out homes are, the more it costs to protect them. Conversely, it is easier and less expensive for firefighters to protect homes that are grouped together.
The group suggested two methods that could be used to reduce the cost of wildfire suppression to the state and federal taxpayers, who currently bear the bulk of the cost. One idea is to leave more land undeveloped and to build new homes closer together. In the event of wildfires, the homes will be easier to protect if they are closer together. The other idea is to defer at least part of the cost of wildfire fighting efforts to the owners of homes in at-risk areas and the local governments that issue permits to build in at-risk areas.
Below is a map of the areas studied by the Headwaters Economics group for this report.


Image of Angora forest fire courtesy of: TheNins.com

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Wildfires and Climate Change




Studies are showing that an increase in wildfires is both a product of and a cause of climate change. According to reports in Science Magazine in 2006 and 2009 the trend toward a warmer, dryer climate is leading to more, and larger, wildfires. The increased release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere from the burning biomass (plant life) is further contributing to a warmer climate. As the environment warms, the average seasonal temperatures increase, leading to earlier spring snow melts and warmer summers. As snow melts away and residual moisture evaporates, the biomass is more prone to burning. Not only are the wildfire seasons starting earlier, they are running later in the year. This scenario allows for the possibility of more wildfires, which leads to further damage and increased expenditure for state and federal firefighting agencies. Scientists are finding this to be the case in the western U.S., especially in the northern Rocky Mountains.
I found five articles related to these studies. On July 6, 2006, Science Magazine released a report titled “Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Wildfire Activity.” On the same day, Scripps Institution of Oceanography (Scripps News) published an article about Science Magazine’s article. It is mostly a summary of the Science Magazine article. On April 23, 2009, Scientific American published a short article about a report which Science Magazine would post the following day. At present, Science Magazine is only offering an abstract of their full article to non-subscribers. A more recent article (July 27, 2011), published in The Huffington Post, quotes one of the researchers from the 2006 study and relates the issue to Yellowstone National Park.



The two articles published online on July 6, 2006 reported the same study. The Science Magazine article was longer and more technical in nature than the article published by Scripps News. The Scripps News article gave a good overview of the study without delving too deeply into the technical aspects of the study. This study was based on 1,166 wildfires of 1,000 acres and larger in the western U.S. between 1970 and 2003. By comparing the wildfires with climate data the scientists found a correlation between increasing temperatures and frequency and severity of wildfires. Additionally, they discovered that wildfires were increasing in areas unaffected by humans, just as much as in areas that were altered by humans. Since wildfires often encroach on developed areas, we tend to put great effort into fighting them. In recent years the cost of fighting wildfires has risen to at least $1 billion annually.
The two articles from April 2009 make the point that fire has existed since the first land-based plants appeared. Since plants take in carbon dioxide while they grow, the carbon dioxide gets released back into the atmosphere when they burn. Wildfires play a key role in ecosystems by helping to determine plant distribution and type. Even though humans have been familiar with fire for tens of thousands of years, we are not all that good at managing it. On a local level, wildfires can be devastating to both property and natural landscapes, but collectively, they can play a role in climate change.
The Huffington Post restated some of the points brought up in the above articles, such as, the record-size wildfires in recent years and how wildfires can change landscapes from forests to shrub lands. The article used Yellowstone National Park, a place most Americans have at least heard of, to illustrate the issue. According to a study conducted by researchers at the University of California, Merced, Yellowstone’s entire ecosystem could change due to increased wildfire activity by 2050. Of course this scenario would not be exclusive to Yellowstone. The same effect would be realized in many other areas throughout the western U.S.

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Scientists find harmful acid in wildfire smoke

According to articles I found in The Daily Camera (May 16, 2011) and The Denver Post (May 17, 2011), researchers with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) found isocyanic acid (HNCO) in smoke produced by wildfires. Isocyanic acid has also been found in cigarette smoke and in the polluted air above Los Angeles. According to Daily Camera staff writer, Laura Snider, “The full effects of exposure to isocyanic acid in the air aren’t fully understood, but the chemical has been linked to cataracts, cardiovascular disease and rheumatoid arthritis.” Both The Daily Camera and The Denver Post credited the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) with publishing the scientists’ findings.

The Daily Camera (link) had more content in its online article than The Denver Post (link). The Daily Camera had a YouTube video and a photograph of the Fourmile Fire by a staff photographer. The Denver Post did not have any visuals. Both articles were brief but mentioned the health hazard to humans. The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences’ website offers only an abstract of the article. To view the full article, one must either have a subscription to the publication or pay $10 for two-day access.

The Daily Camera and The Denver Post both quoted the same two scientists, Jim Roberts, with NOAA, and Joost de Gouw, with CIRES. The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences gave attribution to 11 people, the two aforementioned researchers included. The PNAS abstract listed a number of sources of isocyanic acid besides wildfires, intentional burning of biomass and tobacco smoke. The Daily Camera and The Denver Post mentioned the burning of biomass (wildfires and human fires), cigarettes and urban pollution.

I liked The Daily Camera’s piece the most, partly because it had a multimedia element to it. In the YouTube video, CIRES researcher, Joost de Gouw, explains the issue in an interview. They show the chemical make up of isocyanic acid and the instrument they built to measure the acid particles in the air. The video also shows the facility in Missoula, Montana where the CIRES and NOAA researchers went to measure the particles in smoke with their instrument. De Gouw talks about how NOAA scientists were able to measure acidic particles in the air when smoke from the Fourmile Fire blew over Boulder.